One of my favorite natural gas trades

Pavel Hála | Trading ideas | 18. 2. 2013

Time has come to enter one of my favorite spread trades. It’s in NYMEX natural gas – NGQ13-NGM13. I’ve made money on this spread every single year during last five years. I consider NG to be a great commodity for spread trading. This spread trade is also very conservative because you can set just a…

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Wheat spread trade

Pavel Hála | Trading ideas | 13. 2. 2013

I’m watching one CBOT wheat interdelivery spread. It’s ZWZ13-ZWN13. Seasonality is pushing the spread up: ZWZ11-ZWN11 was an abnormal year and it’s distorting our chart. Luckily in our app you can interact with charts and that includes our seasonality analysis. If you click on the ZWZ11-ZWN11 in the legend or the little orange square beside…

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Quick coffee trade idea

Pavel Hála | Trading ideas | 12. 2. 2013

One quick trade in NYBOT coffee (KC). Look at the spread KCK13-KCH13: Shorting the spread (i.e. long KCH13, short KCK13) would be a good idea right now. Why? Look at the seasonality analysis of this spread: It never gets much over 3.0 in the last ten years so there is probably an arbitrage barrier. And…

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